Sunday, January 14, 2007

QQQQ Trend Analysis - 1/12/2007

Last week we suggested that SPY might rally to retest the weekly resistance at 142.78. Indeed it was a strong week for the major markets. For the week the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 158.07 points, or 1.27%. The Standard Poor's 500 Index rose 21.02 points, or 1.49%, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 68.57 points, or 2.82%.
OscillatorsTrend AnalysisCandle
SymbolDailyWeeklyDailyWeeklyMtlyQtlyYrlysticks
QQQQRelative Strength Index (RSI):		70.35
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	11.7
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		92.11Relative Strength Index (RSI):		58.57
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	4.4
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		69.89
%D-Slow - Bearish Divergence
MACD - Bearish DivergencePattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		42.52 - 01/03/07
High: 		45.35 - 01/12/07
Current Price:	45.31Pattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		42.52 - 01/03/07
High: 		45.35 - 01/12/07
Current Price:	45.31Pattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		42.52 - 01/03/07
High: 		45.35 - 01/12/07
Current Price:	45.31Pattern:	Rising Wedge
Status:		Valid
Low:  		34.35 - 04/29/05
High: 		45.35 - 01/12/07
Support:	42.04 (± 0.31)
Resistance:	45.48 (± 0.31)
Current Price:	45.31Pattern:	Rising Wedge
Status:		Testing Resistance
Low:  		32.35 - 08/13/04
High: 		45.35 - 01/12/07
Support:	39.14 (± 0.56)
Resistance:	45.35 (± 0.56)
Current Price:	45.3101/12/07	Bearish  Advance Block
QQQQ Long-term perspective:
The Nasdaq was the last one among three major indices to reach the long-term uptrend resistance line. QQQQ daily and weekly Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. MACD has bearish divergence. All above indicators suggest that Nasdaq is ready to turn down and join S&P 500 and Dow Jones in down trend toward the long-term support line.
QQQQ - Long-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
QQQQ Short-term perspective:
In addition to all bearish indicators QQQQ had a bearish Advanced Block candlesticks pattern. This pattern is usually considered as a reversal signal. This is a warning that the bull has ran out of steam, and the rally is slowing down. We expect additional weakness of the QQQQ upside price action next week.
QQQQ - Short-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
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