Sunday, November 02, 2008

Major indices have formed a triangle chart pattern

The Stock Market Week - 10/31/2008

It was an up week for the major markets. For the week the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 946.06 points, or 11.29%. The Standard Poor's 500 Index gained 91.98 points, or 10.49%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 168.92 points, or 10.88%. Our Weekly Picks portfolio gained 17.24% for the week.

All three major indices have formed a short-term descending triangle pattern. Usually, in a mature trend a triangle pattern is considered as a reversal pattern.
Dow Jones Industrial Average - Short-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
Standard & Poor's 500 - Short-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
Nasdaq Composite Index - Short-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
Standard & Poor's 500 Index Trend Analysis
Standard & Poor's 500 Index is in a long-term down trend that started on 10/11/2007 at 1576.09. The third (III) wave down has started on 5/19/2008 at 1440.24 and lost more than 40% reaching 839.8 level on 10/10/2008. The chart has formed a short term descending triangle pattern. The chart retested its low on 10/28/2008 and rebound sharply from 845.27 to 984.36 just is four days. The sharp rebound from the support level confirms the end of the short-term sub wave 3, and it may be the end of the long-term wave (III) as well. The weekly Lane's Stochastic is still oversold, but other daily and weekly technical indicators are natural. The resistance level is around 1070, and then 1140.
Standard & Poor's 500 - Long-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
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