Sunday, December 24, 2006

SPY Trend Analysis - 12/22/2006

All the major US indices were negative. For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gave back 102.30 points, or 0.82%. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index dropped 16.33 points, or 1.14%, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 56.02 points, or 2.28%.
OscillatorsTrend Analysis
SymbolDailyWeeklyDailyWeeklyMtlyQtlyYrly
SPYRelative Strength Index (RSI):		45.78
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	31.2
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		39.11
MACD - Bearish DivergenceRelative Strength Index (RSI):		62.64
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	9.4
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		89.76Pattern:	DownTrend
High: 		143.24 - 12/14/06
Low:  		140.67 - 12/22/06
Current Price:	140.75Pattern:	Rising Channel
Status:		Support Broken
Low:  		122.39 - 07/18/06
High: 		143.24 - 12/14/06
Support:	141.94 (± 0.21)
Resistance:	144.27 (± 0.21)
Current Price:	140.75Pattern:	Broadening Ascending Wedges
Status:		Valid
Low:  		122.34 - 06/14/06
High: 		143.24 - 12/14/06
Support:	120.30 (± 2.12)
Resistance:	143.89 (± 2.12)
Current Price:	140.75Pattern:	Falling Channel
Status:		Support Broken
High: 		155.75 - 03/24/00
Low:  		77.07 - 10/10/02
Current Price:	140.75Pattern:	DownTrend
High: 		155.75 - 03/24/00
Low:  		77.07 - 10/10/02
Current Price:	140.75
SPY Long-term perspective:
The monthly uptrend that started on 6/14/2006 is near completion. It has a five waves impulse structure and the final fifth wave is completed or almost completed. A new downtrend toward the multiyear support line is about to start.
QQQQ - Long-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
SPY Short-term perspective:
The last fifth wave of the long-term uptrend is near completion. The wave is forming a termination pattern, weekly technical indicators are overbought, and the weekly uptrend support line is almost broken. If support holds, we may see a brief rebound, but there is not much room for the upside move. The risk/reward ratio is high.
QQQQ - Short-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
Presented by www.thegreedytrader.com Research Group.

Sunday, December 17, 2006

SPY Trend Analysis - 12/15/2006

It was an up week for the major markets. For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 138.03 points, or 1.12%. The Standard Poor's 500 Index gained 17.25 points, or 1.22%, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 19.84 points, or 0.81%.
OscillatorsTrend Analysis
SymbolDailyWeeklyDailyWeeklyMtlyQtlyYrlyAlerts
SPYRelative Strength Index (RSI):		75.39
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	11.7
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		82.79
MACD - Bearish DivergenceRelative Strength Index (RSI):		68.32
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	3.5
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		92.74Pattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		140.78 - 12/08/06
High: 		143.24 - 12/14/06
Current Price:	142.34Pattern:	Rising Channel
Status:		Valid
Low:  		122.39 - 07/18/06
High: 		143.24 - 12/14/06
Support:	141.06 (± 0.21)
Resistance:	143.39 (± 0.21)
Current Price:	142.34Pattern:	Broadening Ascending Wedges
Status:		Valid
Low:  		122.34 - 06/14/06
High: 		143.24 - 12/14/06
Support:	120.40 (± 2.06)
Resistance:	143.24 (± 2.06)
Current Price:	142.34Pattern:	Falling Channel
Status:		Support Broken
High: 		155.75 - 03/24/00
Low:  		77.07 - 10/10/02
Current Price:	142.34Pattern:	DownTrend
High: 		155.75 - 03/24/00
Low:  		77.07 - 10/10/02
Current Price:	142.34Uptrend Exhaustion
SPY Long-term perspective:
The monthly uptrend that started on 6/14/2006 is near completion. It has a five waves impulse structure, and final wave five is in progress now. Wave five is forming MACD bearish divergence. It is a sign that the uptrend is loosing the strength. We expect the monthly uptrend complete within the next several weeks, and a new downtrend start toward multiyear trend support line.
QQQQ - Long-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
SPY Short-term perspective:
The last fifth wave of the long-term uptrend is in progress. The wave is forming a termination pattern that may last into the year-end. Daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought, and price is near uptrend resistance line. There is not much room for the upside move. The risk/reward ratio is high.
QQQQ - Short-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
Presented by www.thegreedytrader.com Research Group.

Sunday, December 10, 2006

QQQQ Trend Analysis - 12/8/2006

QQQQ Trend Analysis - 12/8/2006
It was an up week for the major markets. For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 113.36 points, or 0.93%. The Standard Poor's 500 Index climbed 13.13 points, or 0.94%, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 24.15 points, or 1.00%.
OscillatorsTrend Analysis
SymbolDailyWeeklyDailyWeeklyMtlyQtlyYrly
QQQQRelative Strength Index (RSI):		45.00
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	59.4
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		55.94Relative Strength Index (RSI):		61.67
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	14.1
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		89.22Pattern:	DownTrend
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Low:  		43.26 - 12/01/06
Current Price:	43.9Pattern:	DownTrend
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Low:  		43.26 - 12/01/06
Current Price:	43.9Pattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		35.54 - 07/18/06
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Current Price:	43.9Pattern:	Broadening Ascending Wedges
Status:		Valid
Low:  		34.35 - 04/29/05
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Support:	36.43 (± 0.80)
Resistance:	45.33 (± 0.80)
Current Price:	43.9Pattern:	Rising Wedge
Status:		Valid
Low:  		32.35 - 08/13/04
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Support:	38.90 (± 0.54)
Resistance:	44.95 (± 0.54)
Current Price:	43.9
QQQQ Long-term perspective:
Our long-term perspective has not change. The weekly uptrend that started on 7/18/2006 is complete or near completion. QQQQ is very close to the long-term uptrend resistance line near 45-46 area. This resistance level should not be broken. After reaching the long-term uptrend resistance trendline, QQQQ should go down in the direction of long-term support.
QQQQ - Long-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
QQQQ Short-term perspective:
QQQQ weekly indicators are still oversold, but daily indicators moved out from the oversold area. Price is near the weekly uptrend support line, but not far from the long-term uptrend resistance. At this point there are equal chances that QQQQ move up toward the long-term uptrend resistance line around 45-46 area or down toward the long-term uptrend support (40-39). The short-term trader can try to catch the up wave, but risk/reward ratio is pretty high.
QQQQ - Short-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
Presented by www.thegreedytrader.com Research Group.

Sunday, December 03, 2006

QQQQ Trend Analysis - 12/1/2006

All the major US indices were negative. For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gave back 86.04 points, or 0.70%. The Standard & Poor"s 500 Index lost 4.24 points, or 0.30%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 47.05 points, or 1.91%.
OscillatorsTrend AnalysisCandle
SymbolDailyWeeklyDailyWeeklyMtlyQtlyYrlysticks
QQQQRelative Strength Index (RSI):		58.77
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	26.5
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		34.66
MACD - Bearish DivergenceRelative Strength Index (RSI):		65.62
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	9.2
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		90.05Pattern:	DownTrend
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Low:  		43.26 - 12/01/06
Current Price:	43.66Pattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		35.54 - 07/18/06
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Current Price:	43.66Pattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		35.54 - 07/18/06
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Current Price:	43.66Pattern:	Broadening Ascending Wedges
Status:		Valid
Low:  		34.35 - 04/29/05
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Support:	36.41 (± 0.80)
Resistance:	45.27 (± 0.80)
Current Price:	43.66Pattern:	Rising Wedge
Status:		Valid
Low:  		32.35 - 08/13/04
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Support:	38.84 (± 0.55)
Resistance:	44.90 (± 0.55)
Current Price:	43.6611/28/06	Bearish  Thrusting
11/27/06	Bearish  Long Red Real Body
QQQQ Long-term perspective:
The weekly uptrend that started on 7/18/2006 is complete or near completion. QQQQ is very close to the long-term uptrend resistance line near 45-46 area. This resistance level should not be broken. After reaching the long-term uptrend resistance trendline, QQQQ should go down in the direction of long-tern support.
QQQQ - Long-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
QQQQ Short-term perspective:
QQQQ weekly technical indicators are still strongly overbought. The price is near the weekly uptrend support line. Chances are high that weekly uptrend is over, and QQQQ will break the support line. In case the support holds, there is a slight possibility that QQQQ make a new attempt to reach the long-term uptrend resistance around 45-46.
QQQQ - Short-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
Presented by www.thegreedytrader.com Research Group.