Sunday, November 26, 2006

QQQQ Trend Analysis - 11/24/2006

QQQQ Trend Analysis - 11/24/2006
It was a mixed week for the major markets. For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gave back 62.39 points, or 0.51%. The Standard Poor"s 500 Index lost 0.25 points, or 0.02%, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 14.40 points, or 0.59%.
OscillatorsTrend Analysis
SymbolDailyWeeklyDailyWeeklyMtlyQtlyYrlyAlerts
QQQQRelative Strength Index (RSI):		90.96
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	14.1
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		94.77
MACD - Bearish DivergenceRelative Strength Index (RSI):		67.52
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	4.9
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		92.77Pattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		41.61 - 11/03/06
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Current Price:	44.65Pattern:	Rising Channel
Status:		Valid
Low:  		35.54 - 07/18/06
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Support:	43.27 (± 0.13)
Resistance:	44.76 (± 0.13)
Current Price:	44.65Pattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		35.54 - 07/18/06
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Current Price:	44.65Pattern:	Broadening Ascending Wedges
Status:		Valid
Low:  		34.35 - 04/29/05
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Support:	36.40 (± 0.79)
Resistance:	45.20 (± 0.79)
Current Price:	44.65Pattern:	Rising Wedge
Status:		Valid
Low:  		32.35 - 08/13/04
High: 		44.86 - 11/24/06
Support:	38.79 (± 0.55)
Resistance:	44.86 (± 0.55)
Current Price:	44.65Uptrend Exhaustion
QQQQ Long-term perspective:
QQQQ broke the long-term resistance area between 43.05 and 43.31, and closed on Friday at 44.30. We considered two long-term QQQQ scenarios correlated with S&P 500 long-term perspective.

1. If S&P 500 scenario #1 is in play, then QQQQ is forming double top pattern and move down to retest its July low - 35.54.

2. If S&P 500 scenario #2 unfolds, QQQQ has chances to break 43.05 - 43.31 and even reach long-term uptrend resistance area around 45-46.

As scenario # 2 is in play for S&P 500, QQQQ has broken 43.31 resistance and is moving toward a long-term uptrend resistance area around 45-46
QQQQ - Long-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
QQQQ Short-term perspective:
QQQQ weekly uptrend has resistance at 44.76, daily and weekly technical indicators are strongly overbought and MACD has bearish divergence. QQQQ long-term uptrend resistance is around 45-46.
QQQQ - Short-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
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