Sunday, October 01, 2006

QQQQ Trend Analysis - 9/29/2006

QQQQ Trend Analysis - 9/29/2006
Bull did a great job in September and brought Dow Jones near the all-time high. It is exhausted now and need a rest. For the week QQQQ climbed 0.95 points, or 2.32 percent.
Oscillators
SymbolDailyWeeklyDailyWeeklyMonthlyQuarterlyYearly
QQQQRelative Strength Index (RSI):		72.18
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	1.1
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		75.86Relative Strength Index (RSI):		56.92
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	20.5
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		87.79Pattern:	DownTrend
High: 		40.95 - 09/27/06
Low:  		40.43 - 09/28/06
Current Price:	40.65Pattern:	Rising Channel
Status:		Valid
Low:  		35.54 - 07/18/06
High: 		40.95 - 09/27/06
Support:	39.62 (± 0.13)
Resistance:	41.07 (± 0.13)
Current Price:	40.65Pattern:	Falling Channel
Status:		Resistance Broken
High: 		43.31 - 01/11/06
Low:  		35.54 - 07/18/06
Support:	34.07 (± 0.25)
Resistance:	36.86 (± 0.25)
Current Price:	40.65Pattern:	Rising Channel
Status:		Support Broken
Low:  		34.35 - 04/29/05
High: 		43.31 - 01/11/06
Support:	43.93 (± 0.38)
Resistance:	48.11 (± 0.38)
Current Price:	40.65Pattern:	Rising Channel
Status:		Valid
Low:  		32.35 - 08/13/04
High: 		43.31 - 01/11/06
Support:	37.90 (± 0.66)
Resistance:	45.21 (± 0.66)
Current Price:	40.65
DIARelative Strength Index (RSI):		74.01
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	5.6
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		73.17
%D-Slow - Bearish Divergence
MACD - Bearish DivergenceRelative Strength Index (RSI):		57.27
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	2.5
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		92.29
%D-Slow - Bearish DivergencePattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		112.52 - 08/25/06
High: 		117.33 - 09/29/06
Current Price:	116.75Pattern:	Rising Wedge
Status:		Support Broken
Low:  		106.89 - 07/18/06
High: 		117.33 - 09/29/06
Current Price:	116.75Pattern:	Broadening Ascending Wedges
Status:		Valid
Low:  		106.45 - 01/20/06
High: 		117.33 - 09/29/06
Support:	108.12 (± 0.90)
Resistance:	118.07 (± 0.90)
Current Price:	116.75Pattern:	Rising Channel
Status:		Valid
Low:  		99.89 - 04/20/05
High: 		117.33 - 09/29/06
Support:	113.27 (± 0.36)
Resistance:	117.25 (± 0.36)
Current Price:	116.75Pattern:	Rising Wedge
Status:		Valid
Low:  		72.03 - 10/10/02
High: 		117.33 - 09/29/06
Support:	115.90 (± 0.13)
Resistance:	117.33 (± 0.13)
Current Price:	116.75
SPYRelative Strength Index (RSI):		73.21
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	3.0
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		75.29
MACD - Bearish DivergenceRelative Strength Index (RSI):		58.85
William"s Percentage Range (W%R):	1.2
Lane"s Stochastic (%D-Slow):		92.31Pattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		122.39 - 07/18/06
High: 		133.99 - 09/28/06
Current Price:	133.58Pattern:	Uptrend
Low:  		122.39 - 07/18/06
High: 		133.99 - 09/28/06
Current Price:	133.58Pattern:	Broadening Ascending Wedges
Status:		Valid
Low:  		122.34 - 06/14/06
High: 		133.99 - 09/28/06
Support:	121.46 (± 1.14)
Resistance:	134.13 (± 1.14)
Current Price:	133.58Pattern:	Falling Channel
Status:		Support Broken
High: 		155.75 - 03/24/00
Low:  		77.07 - 10/10/02
Current Price:	133.58Pattern:	DownTrend
High: 		155.75 - 03/24/00
Low:  		77.07 - 10/10/02
Current Price:	133.58
Long-term perspective:
There are no changes in our long-term perspective. The current wave up that started on 7/18/2006 appears pretty strong and broke the long-term downtrend resistance. It might be a first sub wave of a new long-term uptrend. That sub wave looks complete. We expect the market to turn down for the correction that will take about a month. Then the market will resume up move into the year's end.
QQQQ - Long-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
Short-term perspective:
All three major U.S. stock indices are overbought weekly and daily. QQQQ did not break the weekly rising channel and now is close to the resistance level (41.07 for Monday). Our technical signals are pointing that the market is near the top. DIA and SPY both have the Uptrend Exhaustion alerts.
QQQQ - Short-Term Trend
Technical Stock Market Timing System
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