The Stock Market Week - 9/25/2009

All the major US indices were negative. For the week the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped -155.01 points or -1.58%. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index dropped -23.92 points or -2.24%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped -41.94 points or -1.97%.

The Consumer Staples sector was the strongest sector (-0.63%) last week followed by the Health Care sector (-0.80%). The Materials sector was the worst performing sector (-4.59%) of the week followed by the Financial sector (-3.63%).

The Utilities sector is the most overvalued sector followed by Basic Materials, while Chemicals-Major Diversifd, Copper, and Agricultural Chemicals are among the most overvalued industries. The Financial sector is the most oversold sector followed by Industrial Goods, while Savings & Loans, Waste Management, and Lumber Wood Production are among the most oversold industries.

Weekly S&P 500 Winners

Gains/Loses(%) Symbol Company Sector 11.75% AIG American Int'l. Group Financials 5.43% MBI MBIA Inc. Financials 5.04% F Ford Motor Consumer Discretionary

Weekly S&P 500 Loosers

Gains/Loses(%) Symbol Company Sector -20.09% MCO Moody's Corp Financials -16.08% KBH KB Home Consumer Discretionary -12.82% EK Eastman Kodak Consumer Discretionary

Standard & Poor's 500 Index Trend Analysis The current S&P 500 up trend has an ABC structure. The first leg up (wave A) presents a sharp advance from 666.75 on March 6th to 956.23 on June 11th. The second leg up (wave C) advanced from 869.35 in July to 1080.15 on September 23rd (29% shorter than wave A). In our previous publication we wrote: the next up leg could reach the resistance level around 1075 in the beginning of October. The S&P 500 was able to reach the resistance level even earlier, but it was not able to close above the resistance level so far. The resistance caused a sharp sell off. The S&P has lost 3.3% in two days. Weekly Williams' % Range indicator is still overbought while weekly Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Daily Lane's stochastic crossed over its moving average above 80%, which is considered as a sell signal. The next support level is near 970.

Standard & Poor's 500

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